Dave Van Knapp of SensibleStocks.com publishes an annual overview of the dividend-paying stock scene. This year's edition came out last month. Dave was kind enough to send me a copy of The Top 40 Dividend Stocks For 2010, and I've read through all 145 pages of it.
To the point: this is the best dividend-stock book I know. If you're interested in building a portfolio of dividend-paying stocks, start with this book. Below, I'll share some excerpts from the book to show what you can expect to learn, and put to use right away. Here's the table of contents:
1. Introduction 2. A Look Back at 2009 and Forward to 2010 3. What Are Dividends? 4. Why Invest in Dividend Stocks? 5. What Are the Characteristics of the Best Dividend Stocks? 6. Creating and Managing Your Dividend Stock Portfolio 7. The Top 40 Dividend Stocks for 2010 8. Easy-Rate Scoresheets for the Top 40 9. Disclaimer and Important Information
From the introduction:
There are two phases to the [sensible dividend investing] process. The first is to identify the "best" dividend-paying companies. Ones that:
Are financially solid
Have a good initial yield at the time of purchase
Consistently raise their dividends
Are available at decent valuations
Are relatively low in risk as to both their dividends and stock prices (recognizing that stock market risk can never be fully eliminated)
The second phase is portfolio management. The approach presented in this book emphasizes making timely decisions to buy, sell, hold, or replace stocks; maximizing dividend yields and dividend increases; sidestepping dividend cuts; and avoiding outright loss of capital wherever possible.
[Other excerpt omitted.]
In Chapter 4, [Dave] presents the case for dividend stocks: Simply stated, the case for dividend stocks goes like this:
Dividends are always positive.
The best dividend-paying companies raise their dividends regularly, usually at a pace that exceeds inflation.
Dividends are not just for current income. Dividends can be re-invested to build wealth.
Re-invested dividends compound, accelerating the wealth-building process.
Dividend stocks offer (with some risk) the potential for price appreciation in addition to the dividends they pay.
Dave provides a simple explanation of how, unlike bonds, dividend payouts can rise over time so that your yield increases, one of the best benefits of a reliable dividend-paying stock:
If you own shares in a dividend-paying company that increases its dividends -- meaning that the per-share payout goes up, as shown in the illustration -- something very attractive takes place: Your yield on cost as a shareholder goes up. Many dividend- paying companies have a long history of increasing their dividend regularly. Often this is done in line with their earnings growth each year. So a company with annual earnings growth of, say, 10% may increase its dividends 10% that year too. For comparison, in your job, how often do you get a 10% raise? When a company increases its dividend, your yield on cost (that is, the yield on your original investment) goes up. This happens even though the current yield quoted in the newspaper stays the same. How can this be? It's simple math. Say you purchase stock in Dividend Inc. when its price is $100 per share and its current yield is 3%. So you buy $1000 worth (10 shares) and the stock pays you $30 that year. No matter how the stock's price changes over the coming years, your personal yield (= yield on cost = yield on your original investment) will always be based on that $1000 that you invested in the stock. Let's say that Dividend Inc.'s longstanding practice is to increase its dividend in line with earnings. If it increases its earnings 10% per year, that means in Year 2 the company pays out 10% more to you, or $33, so the yield on your original $1000 investment increases to 3.3%. Note that it no longer matters what Dividend Inc.'s current yield is. If the stock's price rises exactly in line with the company's increased earnings (which would happen in a rational market), Dividend Inc.'s price next year is also 10% higher ($110 per share), so the newspaper will still list the current yield as 3% ($33/$110). But that only applies to new buyers, not you.
To improve how effectively his Easy-Rate scoring system identifies top dividend-paying stocks on the market, Dave tweak[ed] it [this] year to place more emphasis on higher-yielding stocks without adding much additional risk. [Dave's] system uses data from DRiPInvesting.org, Morningstar.com, StandardandPoors.com, and others to find the companies with the best business models; healthy finances; strong earnings, low debt, and other solid fundamentals; a decent analyst backdrop; yield higher than 3.0% with a three-year total percentage dividend increase of at least 16%; a history of raising the dividend; and a reasonable stock valuation. The sweet spot contains companies with a high enough yield to be worthwhile, and a growth rate of that yield that is sustainable.
That rather lengthy, thorough process winnowed [an original universe of 700 potential candidates down to this year's Top 40]. The book presents this year's top 40 in four tables, each with a different sort parameter: alphabetically, by company quality score, by total score (company quality + valuation), and by current yield percentage. The top five dividend yields are: 9.8% 8.4% 8.2% 7.6% 7.3% Each of the 40 stocks is presented on a completed Easy- Rate score sheet, showing exactly why it made the cut. The completed score sheets are also useful as examples of the kind of research you need to do on companies outside the compact list of 40, if you'd like to apply Dave's methods to your own dividend-paying candidates. Finally, Dave discusses what to do with stocks purchased from 2009's list that did not make this year's list. In most cases, but not all, he suggests keeping them.
It's another winning edition of this annual survey. Dave sells it in PDF form for $39.
As a blogger I often receive offers for different investing services and tools for review. I was recently offered to review Dave Van Knapp’s book “The Top 40 Dividend Stocks for 2009” by the book's creator. The book is updated every year with the most current information on dividend investing and with the best dividend picks according to the writer as well. You could check my review of last year's book as well.
Last year’s picks from Dave Van Knapp’s book outperformed the S&P 500 by 11%. The list did lose about 27% in 2008 however. There were 34 dividend increases and only 6 dividend cuts or freezes.
The book is easy to read and could appeal both to novice and experienced dividend investors. It is well organized and provides a pretty complete guide to long-term wealth and income accumulation from dividend stocks.
It starts with an overview of the recent market action, which included many dividend cuts in 2008 and 2009 in the financial sector. The author then provides several reasons why investors who seek superior long-term returns should invest in dividend growth stocks. The characteristics of the best dividend stocks are also being summarized in the next pages. If you had questions on how to create and manage your income portfolio the book would certainly try to answer those concerns.
One thing that separates this book from other books on Dividend Investing is that the author provides a list of 40 stocks as attractively valued investment ideas. Dave Van Knapp describes the methodology he uses to select the best dividend stocks for his readers. Not only does the book provide a list of stocks, but also includes brief stock analyses on each and every company in the catalog.
In general I found the book interesting and informative. I enjoyed not only the whole investing process that the author describes for creating and managing a successful dividend portfolios but also his overview of special high yielding dividend structures such as Real Estate Investment Trusts, Canadian Income Trusts, Master Limited Partnerships and Business Development Companies. Overall I believe that it is a must own book for every serious dividend investor. It is easy to read, well organized and provides a wealth of information not only for the novice investor but also for the seasoned pro! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- REVIEW OF 2009 EDITION BY JASON KELLY, author of the best-selling The Neatest Little Guide to Stock Market Investing
Dave Van Knapp of SensibleStocks.com has just published a new e-book called THE TOP 40 DIVIDEND STOCKS FOR 2009: Dividend Investing for the Long Haul.
From Section 2:
In the last quarter of 2008, the Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 stock index registered more dividend cuts and omissions than increases and initiations. That made it the first quarter in which unfavorable actions outnumbered favorable ones since S&P began keeping dividend records fifty years ago. At the end of the year, about 370 of the S&P 500's stocks were dividend payers, down 20 from the end of 2007. Nevertheless, total dividends paid out in 2008 by the S&P 500?s stocks increased about 1 percent, to about $244.7 Billion. That was the lowest dividend growth rate since 2001. The total performance of any stock consists of its dividends plus price changes. On a total-returns basis, dividend-paying stocks outperformed non-payers by about 6 percent in 2008. Part of this was due to the dividends, which are always positive. The rest was due to comparatively better price performance. Last year's edition, The Top 40 Dividend Stocks for 2008, recommended 40 dividend stocks as best-of-breed at the time of publication. Let's see how they did. Remembering that the principal goal in dividend investing is to create a reliable, ever- increasing income stream, the Top 40 did very well. Investments in all 40 stocks over the entire year would have produced the following results:
3.7 percent yield, calculated as the total dividends paid in 2008 divided by the sum of all stocks' prices at the beginning of the year
34 stocks increased their dividends over 2007, and 6 cut or froze them
Of course, in addition to receiving dividends, investors are interested in preserving or increasing their principal. Stocks across the board got hammered in 2008. The S&P 500 lost 38 percent. Our Top 40 Dividend Stocks did better, losing 31 per cent in price averaged across all 40 stocks. When gains from dividends are factored in (dividends are always positive), the Top 40's total return was -27 percent. That is a severe loss. However, as a Sensible Dividend Investor, I don't get too worried about declines in principal nor too excited about increases. The goal in dividend investing is to generate ever-increasing dividend streams. That money can then be used for re-investment or for current income. If you focus on that goal of ever- increasing dividends, then fluctuations in the prices of the individual stocks take on less importance. Your attention is on the dividend streams, not on the stocks' prices.
Judging from reader email I received during this bear market, a focus on dividend streams would be a nice break from price volatility.
Dave presents this year's Top 40 in separate tables ranked by name in alphabetical order, by his proprietary company quality score, by his proprietary total score, and by current dividend yield. Those yields range from a high of 9.7 percent to a low of 3.0 percent.
The company with the highest quality score and highest total score sports a yield of 4.3 percent.
Some fun facts about the Top 40:
The average current yield is 5.1 percent.
All companies on the list have increased their dividend in each of the past five years.
Twenty of the companies have raised their dividend for 20 or more years consecutively.
The three-year average dividend growth of the Top 40 is 16 percent.
Every company except three has raised its dividend at least 5 percent on average over the past three years. Three companies that have raised their dividends for at least 20 years in a row were allowed onto the list with 3-year average dividend growth rates of 4 percent.
Not a bad group! Read more about it at Dave's site.
Dave Van Knapp of SensibleStocks.com has just published a new e-book called The Top 40 Dividend Stocks For 2008: How (and Why) to Build a Cash Machine of Dividend Stocks.
Like all of Dave's work, it presents the case in logical steps that build a staircase to understanding and action. Dave is not about flash and show; he's about getting the job done.
The book shows:
What dividends are
Why they're a big part of succeeding in stocks
Characteristics that define the best dividend stocks
How to create and manage a dividend stock portfolio
The 40 best dividend stocks for 2008
From page 10:
"In 1934, Benjamin Graham and David Dodd wrote in their classic Security Analysis, "The prime purpose of a business corporation is to pay dividends to its owners [emphasis added]." Many investors agreed, considering the possibility of stock price increases to be speculative in comparison to a steady flow of dividends. "But 66 years later, by the end of the bull market of 1982-2000, there was far less interest in dividends among investors. The humongous rise in share prices during the long bull market dwarfed dividends' contribution to total returns. Many investors' interest in dividends dropped to near zero. "But times change. The bursting of the bubble from 2000-2002 sobered up many investors. There has been a rekindling in appreciation for dividends. Investors realize that a dividend stock portfolio can lower risk, grow principal, and steadily increase income over time. "Dividends are stocks' secret weapon. Studies show that -- despite their relatively small contribution during the bubble years -- dividends have accounted for half or more of the total return of the stock market over very long terms. This may be surprising considering how little publicity dividends get. There is no widely followed dividend index that gets the kind of publicity bestowed every day on the Dow, the S&P 500, and the NASDAQ -- all of which reflect price changes only, and therefore give a very incomplete picture of "how stocks are doing." "Dividend stocks are attractive as a core investment for anybody. Common misperceptions are that dividend stocks are slow-growing, boring investments; that a company's payment of dividends is a sign of weakness, that the company cannot think of anything better to do with the money; and that dividend stocks are good only for retirees needing income. These are all incorrect, unless you consider steady income and wealth-building to be boring. "In fact, dividend stocks may just be the best investment that anyone can own."
Dave explains his Easy-Rate scoring system for assembling the best dividend stocks. It looks at earnings, revenue growth, debt, and dividend history to assign points based on their values. A stock's points make it easy to see if it's Excellent, Good+, Good, Fair+, Fair, Poor, or Bubble.
Dave then runs his own system to come up with the top 40 current dividend stocks, presented in four tables for easy reference: alphabetically, by quality score, by total score, and by current dividend yield.
You may be surprised by some of the stocks not on the list. A sampling from that group:
Boeing (yield too low)
Citigroup (average 5-year return too low; cut its dividend)
ExxonMobil (yield too low)
Pfizer (made list of finalists but was outscored by others)
Among the 40 winning stocks, the highest yield is 9.0% and the lowest is 2.1%. The book includes completed Easy-Rate Scoresheets for each of the 40 winners.
SENSIBLESTOCKS .COM
Dedicated to the success of the individual investor